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Clinical Decision-Making

Diagnostics and Medical Technology · NLM MeSH · updated 2026-11-04 · version 1

Citations verified against PubMedNot yet clinician-reviewed9 referencesApproximately 5 min read

Process of formulating a diagnosis based on medical history and physical or mental examinations, and/or choosing an appropriate intervention.

Table of Contents

1. Definition2. Research landscape3. Reading the evidence4. Open-access studies5. Key reviews6. References7. About this article

Definition and research guide

This page combines a MeSH definition, publication statistics and selected research abstracts. It is a starting point for reading the literature, not a medical textbook or a systematic evidence review.

Content available: 3 complete abstracts (924 words), 9 references. Full article text is not stored or reproduced here; follow the PMID, DOI or PMC links to read the original sources and their access terms.

Definition

Process of formulating a diagnosis based on medical history and physical or mental examinations, and/or choosing an appropriate intervention.

Definition: NLM Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) scope note (Public domain (U.S. National Library of Medicine); attribution requested). View the MeSH record.

Also known as: Clinical Decision Making; Decision-Making, Clinical; Medical Decision-Making; Decision-Making, Medical; Medical Decision Making.

Where it fits in the MeSH classification

Broader topics
Diagnosis
Narrower topics
Clinical Reasoning
See also
Decision Support Techniques; Decision Support Systems, Clinical; Relational Autonomy

Research landscape

PubMed indexes 22,763 records tagged with the MeSH heading “Clinical Decision-Making” (counts retrieved 2026-11-04). 13,531 of them (59.4%) were published from 2020 onward, and the busiest period so far is 2020 onward with 13,531 records.

Reviews account for 5,656 records (24.8%) and meta-analyses for 313. Randomized controlled trials number 437 (1.9%) as a share of all records on the topic. Randomized trials make up only a small share of this literature, so much of what is known comes from laboratory, observational or descriptive work.

PubMed records by publication periodthrough 1999: 0 records; 2000-2009: 1 records; 2010-2019: 9,711 records; 2020 onward: 13,531 records0through 199912000-20099,7112010-201913,5312020 onward
Records in PubMed indexed with this heading, by publication period. Real counts from NCBI E-utilities; the final period covers only part of the current year. Volume reflects how much has been published, not how strong the evidence is.
Show the data
PeriodRecords
through 19990
2000-20091
2010-20199,711
2020 onward13,531
Share of records by publication typeReviews: 24.8 percent; Meta-analyses: 1.4 percent; Randomized controlled trials: 1.9 percentReviews24.8% (5,656)Meta-analyses1.4% (313)Randomized controlled trials1.9% (437)
Share of all PubMed records on this heading that carry each publication type. Types overlap with other records, so the shares do not sum to 100%.
Publication-type chart data
Publication types among 22,763 PubMed records
TypeRecordsShare
Reviews5,65624.8%
Meta-analyses3131.4%
Randomized controlled trials4371.9%

Method: PubMed query "Clinical Decision-Making"[MeSH Terms] with publication-type and date filters, retrieved 2026-11-04.

Reading the evidence in diagnostics and medical technology

A test or device is judged by how well it detects a condition, how often it gives false alarms or misses cases, and whether using it improves outcomes for people. Accuracy depends on who is tested and how common the condition is, so a test that performs well in a specialist hospital can perform differently in the community. Check the reference standard, the population studied, the sensitivity and specificity and whether results were confirmed in a separate group.

Evidence from open-access studies

These open-access studies come from PubMed’s best-match results for this heading (papers whose main topic it is), ranked here by citation count, with one recent addition. Each abstract is reproduced in full under its recorded open licence so that you can read the authors’ own words. They illustrate the literature; they are not a systematic summary of it. Citation counts measure attention, not reliability or clinical benefit.

Study comparison — selected abstracts, not a systematic review
Study / authorsYearSource label / designEurope PMC citationsLicence / source
Towards autonomous medical artificial intelligence agents
Ferber D, Hilgers L, Höper C, Kinny-Köster B, Eckardt JN, Egger-Heidrich K, et al.
2026Research article
Design not recorded in structured metadata
21cc by
PMID 42310457 · DOI · PMC13421332
Large Language Model Performance and Clinical Reasoning Tasks
Rao AS, Esmail KP, Lee RS, Jiang S, Arraiza Carlo B, Gill J, et al.
2026Research article
Design not recorded in structured metadata
15cc by
PMID 41973425 · DOI · PMC13077515
Influence of Intraocular Pressure on Clinical Decision-Making in Glaucoma Management
Polski A, Brintz BJ, Hess R, Kawamoto K, Medeiros FA, Stein JD, et al.
2026Research article
Design not recorded in structured metadata
6cc by
PMID 41505118 · DOI · PMC12784266

Towards autonomous medical artificial intelligence agents [1]

Research article Ferber D, Hilgers L, Höper C, Kinny-Köster B, Eckardt JN, Egger-Heidrich K, et al. · · 2026 · cited 21 times (Europe PMC)

Abstract reading summary — source excerpts
Opening excerpt
Large language models (LLMs) show great potential for clinical decision-making, yet most applications remain narrow, task-specific chat tools rather than systems integrated into clinical workflows1,2.
Closing excerpt
Further work is needed to establish generalization, safety and governance through prospective, real-world studies.
Interpretation limits
Verbatim excerpts from the authors’ abstract; the closing excerpt may describe a finding, limitation or recommendation. Design, population, effect size and uncertainty have not been independently extracted or appraised. Read the complete abstract and linked paper before interpreting the findings.
Read complete abstract (209 words)

Large language models (LLMs) show great potential for clinical decision-making, yet most applications remain narrow, task-specific chat tools rather than systems integrated into clinical workflows1,2. However, building physician copilots will require models that operate within the electronic health record (EHR), with governed access to patient data and the ability to initiate permitted EHR actions within defined safety constraints. Yet it remains unproven whether such a system can manage patient cases with physician-level performance. Here we show that MIRA (Medical Intelligence for Reasoning and Action), an autonomous artificial intelligence agent operating in a sandboxed EHR environment, can navigate a large clinical action space to obtain patient histories; order and interpret laboratory, imaging and microbiology tests; generate differential diagnoses; and formulate treatment plans such as prescribing medications, scheduling surgical procedures and planning admissions. In simulations on real patient cases spanning multiple diagnoses, MIRA outperformed physicians in diagnostic accuracy and made guideline-concordant, medication-safe and appropriate admission decisions. Compared with previous LLM applications that addressed isolated subtasks or provided free-text advice, these results suggest that an EHR-integrated artificial intelligence agent can turn clinical intent into structured, actionable EHR operations, possibly making it a more effective decision-support partner for physicians. Further work is needed to establish generalization, safety and governance through prospective, real-world studies.

Abstract reproduced from the open-access article under the recorded cc by licence; © the authors. PMID 42310457 · DOI · PMC13421332

Large Language Model Performance and Clinical Reasoning Tasks [2]

Research article Rao AS, Esmail KP, Lee RS, Jiang S, Arraiza Carlo B, Gill J, et al. · · 2026 · cited 15 times (Europe PMC)

Abstract reading summary — source excerpts
Opening excerpt
ImportanceLarge language models (LLMs) are increasingly marketed for clinical use, yet their ability to replicate full-spectrum clinical reasoning remains uncertain.
Closing excerpt
Thus, despite version-based improvements and advantages in reasoning-optimized models, off-the-shelf LLMs have not yet achieved the intelligence required for safe deployment and remain limited in demonstrating advanced clinical reasoning.
Interpretation limits
Verbatim excerpts from the authors’ abstract; the closing excerpt may describe a finding, limitation or recommendation. Design, population, effect size and uncertainty have not been independently extracted or appraised. Read the complete abstract and linked paper before interpreting the findings.
Read complete abstract (363 words)

ImportanceLarge language models (LLMs) are increasingly marketed for clinical use, yet their ability to replicate full-spectrum clinical reasoning remains uncertain. Existing evaluations often rely on multiple-choice examinations that do not reflect the complexity of patient care.ObjectivesTo evaluate the longitudinal clinical reasoning ability of state-of-the-art LLMs and to introduce a multidimensional, clinically meaningful benchmark for clinical-grade artificial intelligence (AI).Design, setting, and participantsIn this cross-sectional study, performance was evaluated using standardized clinical vignettes from the January 2025 update of MSD Manual vignettes. A total of 21 off-the-shelf LLMs, including recently released GPT-5, Claude 4.5 Opus, Gemini 3.0 Flash and Pro, and Grok 4, were evaluated. Models were assessed by medical student scorers in triplicate across sequential stages of the standard clinical workflow. Analyses were performed from January to December 2025.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcome was the Proportional Index of Medical Evaluation for LLMs (PrIME-LLM) score, defined as the normalized polygonal area representing balanced accuracy across 5 domains of clinical reasoning as follows: differential diagnosis, diagnostic testing, final diagnosis, management, and miscellaneous clinical reasoning questions. Analyses including analyses of variance, t tests, and regression models were used to compare AI model performance and demographic associations.ResultsLLMs were tested across 29 clinical vignettes (representing 16 254 responses in total). PrIME-LLM scores ranged from 0.64 (range, 0.63-0.65) (Gemini 1.5 Flash) to 0.78 (range, 0.77-0.79) (Grok 4), with reasoning-optimized models outperforming nonreasoning models and GPT models scoring highest overall. Differential diagnosis was less accurate than diagnostic testing, while final diagnosis, management, and miscellaneous reasoning were more accurate. Failure rates exceeded 0.80 (range, 0.90-1.00) for differential diagnosis in all models but were less than 0.40 (range, 0.09-0.39) for final diagnosis. Multimodal performance was robust; most LLM models showed improved accuracy with image inputs.Conclusions and relevanceIn this cross-sectional study of 21 LLMs, frontier LLMs achieved high accuracy on final diagnoses but performed poorly in generating differential diagnoses and navigating uncertainty relative to other reasoning stages. The PrIME-LLM framework provided greater separation than raw accuracy, revealing critical reasoning gaps obscured by traditional benchmarks. Thus, despite version-based improvements and advantages in reasoning-optimized models, off-the-shelf LLMs have not yet achieved the intelligence required for safe deployment and remain limited in demonstrating advanced clinical reasoning.

Abstract reproduced from the open-access article under the recorded cc by licence; © the authors. PMID 41973425 · DOI · PMC13077515

Influence of Intraocular Pressure on Clinical Decision-Making in Glaucoma Management [3]

Research article Polski A, Brintz BJ, Hess R, Kawamoto K, Medeiros FA, Stein JD, et al. · · 2026 · cited 6 times (Europe PMC)

Abstract reading summary — source excerpts
Opening excerpt
ImportanceUnderstanding of intraocular pressure (IOP) as a continuous risk factor for glaucoma has evolved over time, and IOP reduction is widely acknowledged as the mainstay of treatment.
Closing excerpt
Improved clinical decision support may be useful to assist clinicians with using IOP as a continuous risk factor in their decision-making.
Interpretation limits
Verbatim excerpts from the authors’ abstract; the closing excerpt may describe a finding, limitation or recommendation. Design, population, effect size and uncertainty have not been independently extracted or appraised. Read the complete abstract and linked paper before interpreting the findings.
Read complete abstract (352 words)

ImportanceUnderstanding of intraocular pressure (IOP) as a continuous risk factor for glaucoma has evolved over time, and IOP reduction is widely acknowledged as the mainstay of treatment. However, the impact of specific IOP levels on clinical decision-making remains an underexplored topic.ObjectiveTo assess how IOP levels influence the decision to initiate or escalate glaucoma therapy in clinical practice.Design, setting, and participantsIn this retrospective, multicenter cohort study, the Sight Outcomes Research Collaborative (SOURCE) ophthalmology data repository was used to identify clinic encounters between October 2009 and January 2022 for patients with glaucoma with IOPs ranging from 12 mm Hg to 25 mm Hg. Data analysis was performed from July 2024 to September 2025.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcome was whether IOP-lowering therapy was initiated or escalated after each clinic encounter, defined as a new prescription for IOP-lowering medication within 1 week of the encounter, laser treatment within 4 weeks, or glaucoma surgery within 8 weeks. The rate of treatment initiation at different IOP levels was measured, and then mixed-effects logistic regression was used to model the odds of treatment initiation at specific indicator IOP levels.ResultsThis analysis included 1 866 801 clinic encounters from 184 504 eyes of 94 232 unique patients across 7 sites in SOURCE. Mean (SD) patient age was 69.5 (10.8) years, and of the total clinic encounters, 1 084 827 (58.1%) included female patients. The rate of IOP-lowering treatment increased with higher IOP levels, with the largest acceleration in treatment rate at IOPs of 22 mm Hg or higher. With mixed-effects logistic regression modeling, an indicator IOP of 22 mm Hg had a greater effect on treatment initiation (odds ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.08-1.14) compared with lower indicator IOPs.Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study, while clinicians seem to generally use IOP as a continuous risk factor in their treatment patterns, with higher rates of glaucoma therapy at increasing IOP levels, these findings suggest that the historical IOP cutoff of 22 mm Hg may still influence clinician decision-making in glaucoma management. Improved clinical decision support may be useful to assist clinicians with using IOP as a continuous risk factor in their decision-making.

Abstract reproduced from the open-access article under the recorded cc by licence; © the authors. PMID 41505118 · DOI · PMC12784266

Key reviews and meta-analyses

The most cited review-type papers among PubMed’s best-match results for this heading, listed with bibliographic details only. Follow the links for the full text and access terms.

  • Research article Impact of 68Ga-PSMA PET on the Management of Patients with Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis [4]
    Han S, Woo S, Kim YJ, Suh CH · Eur Urol · 2018 · cited 253 times (Europe PMC)
  • Research article Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomes [5]
    Feuerriegel S, Frauen D, Melnychuk V, Schweisthal J, Hess K, Curth A, et al. · Nat Med · 2024 · cited 221 times (Europe PMC)
  • Research article Medical Artificial Intelligence and Human Values [6]
    Yu KH, Healey E, Leong TY, Kohane IS, Manrai AK · N Engl J Med · 2024 · cited 101 times (Europe PMC)
  • Research article AI-driven multi-omics integration in precision oncology: bridging the data deluge to clinical decisions [7]
    Hsu CY, Askar S, Alshkarchy SS, Nayak PP, Attabi KAL, Khan MA, et al. · Clin Exp Med · 2025 · cited 92 times (Europe PMC)
  • Research article International Consensus Statement on Platelet Function and Genetic Testing in Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: 2024 Update [8]
    Angiolillo DJ, Galli M, Alexopoulos D, Aradi D, Bhatt DL, Bonello L, et al. · JACC Cardiovasc Interv · 2024 · cited 86 times (Europe PMC)
  • Research article Surgical Decision Making in Brain Hemorrhage [9]
    Gregson BA, Mitchell P, Mendelow AD · Stroke · 2019 · cited 51 times (Europe PMC)

References

  1. Ferber D, Hilgers L, Höper C, Kinny-Köster B, Eckardt JN, Egger-Heidrich K, et al.. Towards autonomous medical artificial intelligence agents. . 2026. PMID 42310457 · DOI · PMC13421332
  2. Rao AS, Esmail KP, Lee RS, Jiang S, Arraiza Carlo B, Gill J, et al.. Large Language Model Performance and Clinical Reasoning Tasks. . 2026. PMID 41973425 · DOI · PMC13077515
  3. Polski A, Brintz BJ, Hess R, Kawamoto K, Medeiros FA, Stein JD, et al.. Influence of Intraocular Pressure on Clinical Decision-Making in Glaucoma Management. . 2026. PMID 41505118 · DOI · PMC12784266
  4. Han S, Woo S, Kim YJ, Suh CH. Impact of 68Ga-PSMA PET on the Management of Patients with Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Eur Urol. 2018. PMID 29678358 · DOI
  5. Feuerriegel S, Frauen D, Melnychuk V, Schweisthal J, Hess K, Curth A, et al.. Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomes. Nat Med. 2024. PMID 38641741 · DOI
  6. Yu KH, Healey E, Leong TY, Kohane IS, Manrai AK. Medical Artificial Intelligence and Human Values. N Engl J Med. 2024. PMID 38810186 · DOI · PMC12425466
  7. Hsu CY, Askar S, Alshkarchy SS, Nayak PP, Attabi KAL, Khan MA, et al.. AI-driven multi-omics integration in precision oncology: bridging the data deluge to clinical decisions. Clin Exp Med. 2025. PMID 41266662 · DOI · PMC12634751
  8. Angiolillo DJ, Galli M, Alexopoulos D, Aradi D, Bhatt DL, Bonello L, et al.. International Consensus Statement on Platelet Function and Genetic Testing in Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: 2024 Update. JACC Cardiovasc Interv. 2024. PMID 39603778 · DOI
  9. Gregson BA, Mitchell P, Mendelow AD. Surgical Decision Making in Brain Hemorrhage. Stroke. 2019. PMID 30932784 · DOI · PMC6485298

About this article

Sources
NLM Medical Subject Headings (definition, synonyms); NCBI PubMed (counts, identifiers); Europe PMC (open-access abstracts and citation counts).
Verification
Every reference was resolved against PubMed on 2026-11-04; title, year and DOI matched.
Review state
automated source verified; no human expert review has been recorded yet.
Version
1, last updated 2026-11-04.

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At a glance

22,763
PubMed records on this heading
59%
published since 2020
5,656
review articles
437
randomized trials
9
verified references below

Counts come from PubMed on 2026-11-04; they show how much has been written, not how strong the evidence is.

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